Belgian Jupiler League Week 13 Wednesday Previews

in #betting5 years ago

These are previews from the Belgian Jupiler League with all the latest on team news, player form, injuries and my personal betting angles, ...


The main bet on the Under in Charleroi vs Sint-Truiden won yesterday and I had a slight profitable start of the week because of it. The match was not as low in chances as I anticipated and Charleroi won deserved which lost the +0.5 bet in stvv though. 3 more matches today on the program...


Eupen vs Cercle Brugge

Eupen has looked more solid compared to the start of the season and mainly their defense has improved. This mostly means that it is less likely to see crazy 5 goal+ matches. They still have a hard time to keep a clean sheet though and they have not turned into an under team. The market seems to have adjusted their over/under line properly to the fact that there will be less goals on average in their matches. The average is still well above 2.5 though to the extend I'm leaning towards the over. Cercle Brugge has been a 'bad away teamé, but it must be said that they had a brutally difficult schedule playing in Anderlecht | Club Brugge | Oostende | Antwerp | Standard | Sint-truiden. This is their first match against one of the weaker teams in the league. Their defense has not been that good though the past couple weeks, but Taravel is back and lambot might also play. I do see Cercle Brugge scoring in this match with cardona in the offense and took some Cercle Brugge Team Total Over 1 @ 1.917. Depending on thee final line-up or how the match goes I might take a bit on Cercle Brugge +0.5. As a long shot it this match I'm tempted by Cardona to score the first goal @ 8.26 after the price boost in sportsbet.io. This match is also on my list for a potential CK Under bet based on stats home/away vs non top team for whiuch the average is 8 only going over 9.5 one time.

Kortrijk vs Waasland

Kortrijk is in a good form with only 1 loss from their last 5 matches. I do see them a bit overextended on the handicap lines they have been getting though. Waasland on the other handis still one of the best teams when it comes down to beating the handicaps and are a team that tend to have a more easy time in away matches where they don't have to make the play. The past weeks there has been late money on Kortrijk and this might happen again this week. I already took a small bet on Waasland +1 @ 2.08 and will be looking to take a bit more in case the odds increase or if they fall behind early in the match. Kortrijk fits the profile where they are an overish home team while their away matches tend to be to be underish. For waasland this is exactly the opposit which creates a nice spot for an over bet because home/away stats don't get that much taken into consideration. both are also very high in their 2H goal ratio and I will have a close eye at the live and 2H over. This one could get really interesting in-game betting wise.

Antwerp vs Genk

I had marked Antwerp for an under bet against the top teams a while back. With the extra offensive options they now have compared to the start of the season (Refaelov, Rodriguez, Mbokani) they have played a less defensive style against teams they can beat on quality but their coach mentioned a while back that they will play full defense against better teams luring on the counter. This is one of those matches. Genk can be a crazy overish team though and have been a real force. This match is entirely wait and see live for me and I'm not going to get involved pre-game. If Antwerp fall behind there will likely be more goals as they will take a lot more risks which can be deadly against Racing Genk. If Genk manage to reach their usual form I might also back them once again. No Pre-Game Bets

Late info might change my view on what is written in these previews. I will cover these matches live in our Discord Channel and place all my bets using Sportmarket Pro which are a betting broker service for more serious players. The offer very High Betting limits, Always let you take the Best Odds on the Market and do Not Limit Winning Players ! For more info Check my Sportmarket Pro Review!


SBC League October

DateBetmBTCOddsResultBetslip
30/10/2018Charleroi vs Stvv U2.5102.050+10.50Sportsbet
28/10/2018Colts -3.5102.036+10.36Nitrogen
28/10/2018Jaguars +4101.966-10Nitrogen
27/10/2018Lokeren vs Oost 1H U1102.073+10.73Nitrogen
21/10/2018Bears ML102.106-10Nitrogen
21/10/2018Titans +6.5102.010+10.10Sportsbet
21/10/2018Eagles -6102.076-10Nitrogen
21/10/2018Zulte-Waregem +0.5101.984-10Nitrogen
20/10/2018Kortrijk vs Stvv 1H U1102.301-10Nitrogen
20/10/2018Sint-Truiden +0.5101.832-10Nitrogen
14/10/2018Seattle -3102.006+10.06Nitrogen
14/10/2018Cleveland -1.5102.000-10Sportsbet
07/10/2018Kansas City -3101.996+9.96Nitrogen
07/10/2018Oakland +6.5101.890-10Sportsbet
04/10/2018Racing Genk -1102.469-10Nitrogen

October BTC Betting Record

15 Bets | 6W-9L-0P | 0.150 BTC Staked | -0.02829 BTC Loss | -18.86% ROI


I am using Nitrogensports as a way to put some of my Bitcoin holdings to use instead of keeping them sitting in my wallet. They have been a very reliable bookmaker and suited for more serious players as they copy market leading Pinnacle odds!

Nitrogensports (affiliate link)
Nitrogensports (normal link)


Results History

MonthBetsWonLostPushStakedProfit BTCROI
Sep 20181413010.140+0.141820+101,3%
Aug 201885120.080+0.045470+56.84%
July 2018178900.135+0.033590+24.88%
June 2018157710.150+0.018200+12.13%
May 201822000.020+0.023440+117%
Feb 2018123810.091-0.036293-39,88%
Jan 201821101010.147+0.005800+3.95%
Dec 2017199820.148+0.010422+7.04%
Nov 201721111000.210-0.008030-3.82%
Oct 201721101010.210+0.003080+1.46%
Sep 201794410.090+0.001440+1.60%
Total1598267101.421+0.238939+16.81%

IMPORTANT !

Past results don't guarantee Future Results. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If you're not a professional, every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being successful at gambling. These bets are posted as a way to help myself in order to stay disciplined, always hold yourself accountable if you end up following. Proper Bankroll Management can highly decrease the risk of heavy losses!

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Well @costanza it is always a blast to read this posts!
Keep them coming!
Cheers.
Peter

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