Jupiler League Asian Handicap Stats (Bottom-Table Teams)

These posts will break down some of the personal stats I'm keeping from the first 6 weeks of the Belgian Jupiler League

(Overall League Season 2018-2019 Corner Stats)

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After breaking down th Top teams & Mid-table teams it is now time to have a look at the teams that are expected to be near the bottom of the table. I aslo included current corner stats, these can be used to get better grip predicting the amount of corners even though Bookmakers base their line on the same stats. Mostly in live-play there are plenty of situational spots where lines based on stats aren't fully set correctly that can be exploited.

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Waasland

Cercle Brugge

Lokeren

Eupen

Moeskroen

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Waasland despite the 3 on 18 actually managed to make profit betting on them blindly on each of their matches, they have also been very heavy in 2H goals. Cercle Brugge took a hot start this season but their main objective is to stay in the league and I don't really see them as a team in danger of relegation. Lokeren are also one of the teams that are far more heavy in 2nd half goals. Eupen and Moeskroen have been good teams to fade so far.

Looking back at the teams that relegated against the asian handicap over the years, it can be said that they are a good fade. Despite relegation, Westerlo actually managed to end in the green over the entire season. These are the numbers against the asian closing line...

Year	Relegation Team	W-L-D	ROI
2017-2018	Kv Mechelen	10.5W-14L-5.5P	-14% ROI
2016-2017	Westerlo	14.5W-13.5L-2P	+2% ROI
2015-2016	OH Leuven	12W-14L-4P	-8% ROI
2014-2015	Lierse	11W-16L-3P	-18% ROI
2014-2018	Cercle Brugge	13.5W-15.5L1P	-7% ROI
2013-2014	OH Leuven	8.5W-11L-3.5P	-12% ROI
2013-2014	Mons	5.5W-13.5L-4P	-45% ROI
2012-2013	Beerschot	10W-16.5L-3.5P	-24% ROI
2012-2013	Cercle Brugge	6W-22L-2P	-48% ROI

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Regular match previews willm be back tomorrow.