Blockchain 2030: Billions Of Tokens And Millions Of BlockchainssteemCreated with Sketch.

in #busy5 years ago

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Much of society does not see what is taking place here. When I look out over the next decade, I see massive changes in the world architecture. The systems we are presently operating under will be falling by the wayside. One of the key replacements will be blockchain.

Blockchain and cryptocurrency are technologies that are going to have major impact on humanity. It is something that the world will gravitate towards, perhaps without realizing it.

Thus, by 2030 we are going to see billions of tokens and millions of blockchains. People will ask how can this have all have value. I will explain it.

Billions Of Tokens

This might seem absurd to most. How can there be that many tokens? Even the present 2,500 contains many, if not most, that will be worthless. There is no way the world will ever have that many.

We have this on top of the notion by those like Jack Dorsey who see Bitcoin as the currency of the Internet. Many feel there will be one or two tokens that we all use. This is not going to be the case.

In a decade, there will be a token for everything. Almost every business will have a token. Look at all the different websites you visit and envision each of them having one. A fair number of individuals will also have tokens. Many of these will just be vanity although there will be a lot of real use cases. Charities, schools, and other non-profits will also have them.

We are also going to see the security token really take off. Each time you see a piece of commercial real estate, think token. Artwork = token. Even your own home could be tokenized.

Flip over to the virtual reality side of things and we can see another set of tokens created. Every avatar will have one. It will be the currency in the virtual worlds we create.

It is easy to see how the number of tokens will explode over the next 10 years.

Blockchains

Here again, we have a situation that is unbelievable to people. How can we have that many blockchains?

When we understand that a blockchain, in addition to being a distributed ledger, is really a network of computers. This is the key. We are going to need all these networks.

There is great discussion about scaling and handling the volume of the likes of Visa. It is not going to matter. All the scaling of the present blockchains will do little. It is still not enough.

Consider all the transactions that are done today and throw them all on blockchain. That would overload them. If the scaling many talk about is done, perhaps all those transactions could be handled.

However, this is nothing compared to what we will see in a decade. Consider the fact that each time your doorbell is rung in the future, that is a transaction. Your refrigerator will be conducting transactions. Most cars on the road will be continuously doing this.

Also consider the fact that only half the global population is on the Internet and that situation will be resolved by the end of the next decade. Hence, we could see a doubling simply because of those people.

The Internet of Things means that the amount of data being transmitted is going to explode. A great deal of this, in my estimation, will end up on blockchain. Centralized systems will not be the norm in 10 years.

The Killer Application

Many mention the killer application and what it will be. This is going to be the real game changer that makes everyone switch over.

Email was the first application on the Internet that went mainstream. As the masses adopted that, things started to spread. We will see the same thing in blockchain.

What will that application be? In my estimation it will be a digital identification system.

This is what is going to get everyone on blockchain. When there is a system that allows anyone to control his/her activity on the web and take ownership of the data, that is when things go massive.

The Internet is going to be ubiquitous meaning we are all always going to be online. Now I want you to think how often you use something to identify someone else. We use their names, emails addresses, instant messenger names, and phone numbers. That will all be consolidated, for the most part, into a digital id.

As you can see, we are just at the early stages of the evolution. We will see an explosion of use cases emerging over the next 10 years. We will look back on today' blockchain are rather primal.


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Securities like stock are the low hanging fruit for tokenization. The foundation is being laid for this currently. Even now Abra is selling ownership of stocks and ETFs via their platform in the form of smart contracts. Not pure tokenization per se, but it shows the possibilities of tying the traditional stock market to the crypto ecosystem.

Dear @taskmaster4450

Thus, by 2030 we are going to see billions of tokens and millions of blockchains. People will ask how can this have all have value. I will explain it.

My question would be: how can all those millions of blockchains and billions of tokens have any necessary liquidity (without which it's not possible to ensure token price stability).

In a decade, there will be a token for everything. Almost every business will have a token.

But why would we have token for everything? Why would we need that? I don't see a reason why it would be better or necessary for each business to launch their own token. Where demand and liquidity would be coming from? It does sounds amazing when you say that but I just don't see a real need for that.

Yours
Piotr

Doesnt almost every business have a website? Why would this technology be any different? It is an easy way to give incentive to one's customers in addition to being a form of branding. Tokens can be for a lot more than just currency and payments. What about rewards? Contests? Raffles? Games? Many possibilities.

As for liquidity, in what, fiat? Why do you need the liquidity if the tokens can be used directly. Sure there will have to be exchanges for particular things but millions of tokesn creates liquidity. If my wallet is doing near instant swaps, I can be bouncing to all kinds of tokens.

Dear @taskmaster4450

Thank you for your great reply.

I'm not sure if comparing having website to launching your own token is a good comparison.

Perhaps I'm wrong, but I just don't see a potential need (as a business owner) to develop my own blockchain if I can use already developed ones.

Tokens can be for a lot more than just currency and payments. What about rewards? Contests? Raffles? Games? Many possibilities.

You mind if I ask you a question? Did you ever try to launch your own token (on bitshares, waves etc) and then add it to few exchanges? It ain't cheap.

Creating your own blockchain, launching your own token - it only can make sense for some businesses. Not for every business out there.

As for liquidity, in what, fiat?

In any other currency. Why fiat?

Anyway liquidity is required. It's simple as that. Token with no liquidity could simply as well not exist at all.

Yours
Piotr

We are in agreement that we can expect mass tokenization. Everything will be given a value under free market guidelines. All those things that have intrinsic value yet whose value is not recognized shall soon be given value.

Think of things like child caring, skills upgrades to library borrowings. Just like RCs allowed the steem ecosystem to put a unique value on all activitives so shall tokenization allow such valuation on all aspects of society.

Imagine placing value on a growing tree instead of only seeing value after it has been cut down and chopped up. That is the potential of the Value Era we are entering, in my opinion.

Dear @novacadian

We are in agreement that we can expect mass tokenization.

My question would be: how can all those millions of blockchains and billions of tokens have any necessary liquidity (without which it's not possible to ensure token price stability).

Yours
Piotr

One of the biggest means that a fiat currency is given intrinsic value is its exceptence as a means of paying one's taxes.

So in my example of the TREE token, a jurisdiction wanting to preserve their surrounding forests could except the token for tax payment. If they wanted to promote new skills in their population then they could except the LEARNUNG token as tax payment and so on.

Mass adoption of Bitcoin(s) could gain traction by electing a mayor who would except them for property tax payments.

Dear @novacadian

Thank you for your previous comment. And Im also sorry for such a late reply. I wonder if you even will read my comment ...

ps.
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Yours
Piotr

Incredible to consider that some still don’t believe it as we already live in a world of this taking place. Loyalty reward programs are the best example of tokenized programs that already exist today but having the difference in that they are centralized and controlled which eliminate transparency. We need today to trust these third parties that they will do right by the programs and perform. Not to mention they often change the rules they control. The blockchain will be the next evolution so that we can have the control necessary to leverage the technology and truly expand the potential of these systems.

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Make that Trillions of Tokens! Not to mention the coins with multi trillion dollar market caps by the end of the next decade

Sounds like the issue will become identifying each token and finding relevance in them

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Awesome post

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