Crypto Contest November 6: Status Report XXII

in #cryptocurrency5 years ago

In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of September 2018. There were 20 contests in September. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct one time. The analysis was wrong seven times. The cryptocurrency was in a range 12 times.

The correct ones were the following:

  1. Crypto Contest September 15: Moeda Loyalty Points

In these contests the range option won:

  1. Crypto Contest September 4: Tokes

  2. Crypto Contest September 5: Steem

  3. Crypto Contest September 7: Status Report XX

  4. Crypto Contest September 8: Qwark

  5. Crypto Contest September 11: PotCoin

  6. Crypto Contest September 12: TRON

  7. Crypto Contest September 14: Decred

  8. Crypto Contest September 16: Wanchain

  9. Crypto Contest September 22: Crown

  10. Crypto Contest September 24: Stellar

  11. Crypto Contest September 25: Ripple

  12. Crypto Contest September 30: Tierion

In these contests the analysis was wrong:

  1. Crypto Contest September 1: Energycoin

  2. Crypto Contest September 2: CannabisCoin

  3. Crypto Contest September 3: Pesetacoin

  4. Crypto Contest September 6: VeriumReserve

  5. Crypto Contest September 9: Bitmark

  6. Crypto Contest September 10: Shift

  7. Crypto Contest September 13: Bitcoin Plus

How did the previous months' analysis go?

From April 1, 2017 to September 30, 2018, the analysis has been correct 123 times, wrong 114 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 289 times.
nimetön.png

How did the voters do in September 2018?

The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 13 out of 20 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 65% of time.

Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:

  1. Crypto Contest September 4: Tokes

  2. Crypto Contest September 5: Steem

  3. Crypto Contest September 6: VeriumReserve

  4. Crypto Contest September 8: Qwark

  5. Crypto Contest September 9: Bitmark

  6. Crypto Contest September 11: PotCoin

  7. Crypto Contest September 12: TRON

  8. Crypto Contest September 14: Decred

  9. Crypto Contest September 16: Wanchain

  10. Crypto Contest September 22: Crown

  11. Crypto Contest September 24: Stellar

  12. Crypto Contest September 25: Ripple

  13. Crypto Contest September 30: Tierion

How did the voters do earlier this year?

Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February.
nimetön2.png
September was the best month since May for the crowd's accuracy.

Conclusion

Congratulations to the winners!

steemverify.png

How about next month (October 2018)?

If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in the October 2018 contests".

If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the October 2018 contests".

If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the October 2018 contests".

You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST November 9 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.

Bonus 1

I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.

Bonus 2

Upvote the right comment and the main post with at least $0.10 and you will get 3 x the winning prize.

Sort:  

The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the October 2018 contests (21 voters as of 3 PM EST November 9: gregory-f, barbadosso, skepticology, crokkon, toofasteddie, kunschj, steemit.nemesis, jznsamuel, starline, jlordc, steem-d-anlovnit, diogosantos, reconnectnature, mgood, simonjay, mitrado, lucasgabd, themovieplace, criptorafa, richard78624, nzl19500).

I would never bet against your pretty good analysis :-)

You were pretty right.

You won. Paid out from @maarnio1

The analysis is right most of the time in the October 2018 contests (3 voters as of 3 PM EST November 9: allyouneedtoknow, ace108, sporttr).

The analysis is wrong most of the time in the October 2018 contests (3 voters as of 3 PM EST November 9: vicspics, galasek, fullcoverbetting).

Sorry I do hope that the analysis will be more good than wrong but with the current market I don’t see this happening!
Cheers,
Peter

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