Market Brief Series / EP. 421 / 10th Oct. 2018

in #forex6 years ago

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  • Overall there is strength in the JPY, with minor strength in the CAD, AUD and USD. Weakness in the NZD, EUR, CHF and GBP.

  • Oil prices were boosted by Iranian supply concerns and worries of a hurricane impacting production in the Gulf of Mexico. Nymex crude oil futures settled 0.9% higher to $74.96 a barrel.

  • USD retreated after US President Trump again criticized the Federal Reserve for raising interest rates too fast. The ICE Dollar Index eased 0.1% on day to 95.61.

  • USD/JPY continues to trade sideways for a third session on Wednesday as U.S. Treasury yields dipped from yesterday’s multi-year highs, and on dampened appetite for risk. Domestic data is influencing the price action.

  • AUD has been a bit of a proxy for the Sino-American trade war, and the Chinese economy in and of itself

  • EUR/USD marked a day-low of 1.1429 before posting a strong rebound to close at 1.1505, up 0.1% on day. In fact, it has broken above the upper boundary of a bearish channel drawn from October 5 and is approaching the overhead resistance at 1.1510. The ascending 20-period moving average, which has crossed above the 50-period one, is providing extra support to the pair. Over 1.1510 the pair should aim at 1.1530.

  • On the data slate there’s UK Trade Balance; UK Industrial Production; UK Manufacturing Production; UK Construction Output; UK GDP; UK BOE’s Haldane Speaks in London; US Mortgage Applications; US PPI; US Wholesale Inventories and US Fed’s Evans Speaks on Economy and Monetary Policy.

Today Trading Plan
SELL EUR/USD @ 1.1510 OR BETTER – STOP @ 1.1560 – TARGET @ 1.1410
SELL GBP/USD @ 1.3125 OR BETTER – STOP @1.3180 - TARGET @ 1.3030
BUY USD/JPY @ 113.00 OR BETTER – STOP @ 112.30 – TARGET @ 114.00
BUY CL1118 @ 74.00 OR BETTER – STOP @ 73.50 – TARGET @ 75.90
SELL AUD/USD @ 0.7090 OR BETTER – STOP @ 0.7150 – TARGET @ 0.7000
SELL XAU @ 1191 OR BETTER – STOP @ 1199– TARGET @ 1180
SELL XAG @ 14.50 OR BETTER – STOP @ 15.00 – TARGET @ 13.80

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