Week 28 Results | 17W-19L-06P | -1.224 Units Loss

in #money5 years ago (edited)

This is a weekly overview of my personal handicapping and live betting results on teams from the Belgian Jupiler League with some insights on my overall approach.


I had solid Friday and Saturday betting results being up around +2 units to give it all away and end up with a loss on Sunday this week. I took 42 bets on 8 matches which is quite a lot and have also gone over 1000 bets on the season already with still 2 weeks to go in the regular season and the playoffs still ahead.


I still need to work a bit on my quality vs Quantity ratio and my average stake size is on the low side around 0.38 units for each bet this week. I would like to get that up to 0.5 units at least which is my season average stake. The more official shared bets (both pre-game and live) have done considerably better compared to the many my side bets I take but the last couple of weeks and I will tone those side bets down a bit.


Plenty of live bets in the SBC Discord Server which ended up just above break even. I made a Discord Live Betting Results update last week and they are currently running at a very solid +5.47% ROI after 188 bets.

Discord Live-Bets

Moeskroen 1st Half +0.25 @ 2.11 (4' 0-0) HALF WON
Moeskroen +0.25 @ 1.87 (68' 1-1) HALF WON
Charleroi vs Genk Under 2.75 @ 1.90 (11' 0-0) WON
Charleroi vs Genk Over 2.5 @ 2.23 (82' 1-1) LOST
Cercle Brugge 1H +0.25 @ 1.97 (0-0 10') VOID
Cercle Brugge 1H +0.25 @ 2.05 (14' 0-1) HALF WON
Waasland Beveren +0.5 @ 1.813 (26' 0-0) WON
Club Brugge -0.5 @ 1.93 (59' 0-0) WON
Club Brugge vs Sint-Truiden Over 1.5 @ 2.250 (81' 1-0) LOST
Zulte-Waregem vs AA Gent CK Over 11 @ 1.917 (48' 3-3) LOST
Lokeren 1H +0.25 @ 1.961 (11' 0-0 LOST
Lokeren vs Anderlecht Corners Under 16.5 @ 1.97 (25' 3-6) LOST
Antwerp vs Eupen 1H Under 1 @ 1.90 (0-0 6') WON



I nearly reached the expected profit range on Saturday but saw it being rejected on Sunday. Even with a sample of 1000+ bets there is not much needed to make a +3.5% ROI drop to +2.5%. This goes the other way around also luckily. The bigger your sample the more stable the ROI will be and the more you know your true edge. Everything in between is just ups and downs.


Previous Personal Results
Week 28 Results 42 Bets | 17W-19L-06P | Staked 16.10u | -1.224u Loss...
Week 27 Results 37 Bets | 16W-16L-05P | Staked 15.09u | -0.049u Loss...
Week 26 Results 37 Bets | 16W-16L-05P | Staked 13.56u | -0.371u Loss...
Week 25 Results 34 Bets | 21W-12L-01P | Staked 12.07u | +2.054u Profit
Week 24 Results 43 Bets | 23W-14L-06P | Staked 18.41u | +1.558u Profit
Week 23 Results 27 Bets | 13W-10L-04P | Staked 11.97u | +0.932u Profit
Week 22 Results 22 Bets | 10W-09L-03P | Staked 08.98u | -0.709u Loss..
Week 21 Results 25 Bets | 10W-11L-05P | Staked 09.44u | +0.274u Profit
Week 20 Results 44 Bets | 24W-14L-06P | Staked 21.48u | -4.919u Loss..
Week 19 Results 34 Bets | 14W-15L-05P | Staked 15.40u | -1.190u Loss..
Week 18 Results 42 Bets | 17W-18L-07P | Staked 20.66u | +0.377u Profit
Week 17 Results 42 Bets | 18W-17L-08P | Staked 25.14u | +0.151u Profit
Week 16 Results 24 Bets | 10W-10L-04P | Staked 15.47u | -0.960u Loss..
Week 15 Results 40 Bets | 15W-23L-02P | Staked 22.57u | -4.020u Loss..
Week 14 Results 33 Bets | 16W-12L-05P | Staked 16.70u | +1.994u Profit
Week 13 Results 19 Bets | 07W-09L-03P | Staked 11.79u | -1.080u Loss..
Week 12 Results 41 Bets | 18W-16L-07P | Staked 24.40u | -0.030u Loss..
Week 11 Results 23 Bets | 08W-11L-04P | Staked 14.56u | -2.510u Loss..
Week 10 Results 43 Bets | 16W-19L-07P | Staked 26.84u | -1.389u Loss..
Week 09 Results 60 Bets | 27W-26L-07P | Staked 32.77u | +2.810u Profit
Week 08 Results 46 Bets | 26W-16L-04P | Staked 26.09u | +5.790u Profit
Week 07 Results 39 Bets | 19W-15L-05P | Staked 15.86u | +3.200u Profit
Week 06 Results 55 Bets | 32W-18L-05P | Staked 25.68u | +8.670u Profit
Week 05 Results 55 Bets | 21W-24L-10P | Staked 24.37u | -0.420u Loss..
Week 04 Results 33 Bets | 14W-13L-06P | Staked 16.30u | +0.190u Profit
Week 03 Results 38 Bets | 22W-13L-03P | Staked 18.74u | +6.170u Profit
Week 02 Results 30 Bets | 09W-17L-04P | Staked 17.41u | -3.120u Loss..
Week 01 Results 31 Bets | 14W-14L-03P | Staked 20.19u | +0.150u Profit


 Regular Season 2018-2019 Results
 1039 Bets| 463W-438L-138P|Staked 518.039u|+12.633u Profit|+2.44% ROI

Let me know in the comments how your betting week was !

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Constancy, mindset and a good money management system are all you need, along with of course a good edge on the bookmakers to beat them!!! Congrats for your result!!!

The overall line is going up which is good! And you are a too good sportsbettor to have a motivational dip due to this week results!
Good luck next week!

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