[09-May-2018] Today is the Day Malaysians Decide Their Next Government
Today is the day Malaysians decide their next government. While there were heated debates going on between different political factions and among the people, enthusiastic forecasters have also made their predictions on the election results based on big data, polls, or simply personal intuition.
| Entry | BN MP Seats | PH MP Seats | BN States | PH States |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC-1 | 100.9 | 121.1 | 7.2 | 5.8 |
| mapleaf(1) | 120 | 100 | 7 | 6 |
| Barryliaozs(1) | 116 | 100 | 7.5 | 5 |
| 山洞居民(1) | 105 | 103 | 8 | 5 |
| FC-2 | 101.4 | 111.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 |
| 山洞居民(2) | 111 | 98 | 8 | 5 |
| Taiwanese Bookie Odds Analysis(1) | 108 | 98 | 8.5 | 4.5 |
| JowY(1) | 132 | 90 | 10 | 3 |
| FC-3 | 102.2 | 112.6 | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| HF-1 | 110.5 | 98.6 | 8.2 | 4.6 |
| ASLI Forecast-modified | 127.5 | 78.5 | 10 | 3 |
| HF-2 | 117.4 | 90.6 | 8.9 | 4.0 |
| tanakkampung1x(1) | 121 | 93 | 8 | 4 |
| aidj(1) | 125 | 96 | 10 | 3 |
| HF-3 | 117.9 | 91.3 | 8.9 | 4.0 |
Today, we shall examine the average accuracy of each forecaster as the election results are released. Salam 1Malaysia. Peace be with all of us.
Accuracy = 100% - MAPE, where MAPE (Mean Absolute Percentage Error) is defined as:
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