Comparison of economic outcomes and frequency of ...

Generally, the statistical method comes from production
and through accurate statistical records of losses
Comparison of economic outcomes and frequency of acquisition
making more predictable events for the future
prediction method.

The main task of the statistical method is to explore the object average of any parameter, dispersion, standard (mid-square), multiplication, variation coefficient, applied It is probable that the quantity (parameter) be distributed. Statistical basis the dangers previously experienced by means of the lunar and as a result the amount of losses, and the comparison of the results risks by the method of approximate determination of probabilities prediction is possible. Statistical method Collect some new information from businessmen using it and some of the newest analytic outcomes, some cost a lot they are forced to obtain incoming information. With the help of this method, businessmen predict losses caused by previous events Comparison of results and causes they can come to a certain conclusion. It is also important to note that the statistical method of helping The predictions made with it are not the case at all does not lead to the same conclusion. That is the help of this method It is impossible to avoid the risk with full and certainty. It should be taken into consideration that the results obtained may also lead to different destinations. The essence of the expert method is that of experienced entrepreneurs or the results of leading experts based on the quantitative assessment of the risk consists of. This method is often inaccurate or inaccurate defective, inaccurate, sometimes accessible as well as statistical methodology, if not impossible making it impossible to do so. But that's it The method also has specific problems. So, experts the probability of their validity, the difficult and complicated questioning of experts, Compared with the obtained data problems and so on. issues in decision making too requires attention. Taking into account the above, the risks both statistical and expert methods of management joint use of more efficient results It can be said that the risk One of the measuring methods is "the expected decision is measured "The probability of each result in this case as the frequency or specific weight of the corresponding quantity The decision taken here is all possible is determined as the weighted average. Risks One of the methods used in managing it is mathematical Probably based method.

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