May ’18 New Steemit User Report – Blockchain Business Intelligence

in #utopian-io6 years ago

At the beginning of every month I prepare a report containing details of new users for the previous month. In April we broke 1 million registered accounts.  Lets see what else we can find out about new users

Aim of Analysis

The aim of this analysis is:

• Establish how many new users registered

• Establish what % of accounts have posts

• Find out who are the new big players in terms of SP

• See what accounts are acting suspiciously

• Establish if there is a break in any of the trends from previous periods 

 Repository

https://github.com/steemit/steem

The Data-source and Query

As always to produce this report I connect to Steemsql (paid subscription services held and managed by @arcange ) with Power BI. The SQL query used to gather the data for this report was

Select *

FROM Accounts (NOLOCK)

where   

( created >= CONVERT(datetime,'05/01/2018')

AND created< CONVERT(datetime,'06/01/2018')

Once I loaded the data into Power BI, I then carried out transformation and calculations using DAX language.

If you missed the full April ‘18’s report you can check it out here:

https://steemit.com/utopian-io/@paulag/april-18-new-steemit-user-report-blockchain-business-intelligence

Overview

April ’18 Overview

  

May ‘18 Overview

 

May was the slowest month this year in terms of new user registrations. Jan 18 seen 159K new uses, Feb dropped to 73k and March jumped back up to 126K new user, April was down to 62K.  And now May is down to 60K. That is an decrease of 50% on March.

In May ’17 there were 7,754 new account. May ’18 is therefore up 700 % on the same period last year.

Almost 15% of new accounts completed their ‘about’ section in their profile and almost 6.5% have added a link to an external reference. 1% more accounts completed their about section than last month, which was also up on the previous month.

Why are these values of importance? Well I use these to assess potential the quality of the user. If they have come to Steemit to browse then chances are they may not complete these fields. However if they are experienced bloggers or have experience in social media marketing, then they know the importance of competing this information.

It has also been proven with other analysis, this metric for measuring the quality of the new user relates most to retention levels. It is therefore good to see even a small rise in these values

Posting Activity

The % of new accounts with posts was 35%, up from 32.7%. The % of accounts with 10+ posts is 14.18% which is consistent with last month.

  

We can see from the pie chart above, 67.32% of new accounts have not yet posted. 7.28% have made one post and 3.9% have made two posts. Looking at March values, April results are rather consistent.

Strange Activity

There are very very few extraordinary accounts on Steemit that can push out multiple posts a day of high quality. From discussion with other experienced steemain and whales, account producing large volumes of comments or posts could very well be bots, scammers or plagiarists and the activity is deemed suspicious till otherwise cleared up. Not all accounts that produce numerous comments a day are scam or bots or low quality but these are in minority.

Below are the new accounts from April that have suspicious activity. Tagging @steemcleaners and @cheetah to cross reference.

  

I must add that I have not checked the integrity of all these accounts or posts, I struggle to get 1 data post done a day and I know from talking with writers, good form content can take a number of hours to write and post. 

New High Value SP Accounts set up in May

The table below shows the new Steemit Users sorted by Vesting Shares.

 


@thegoldengoose has about 71K SP. This SP has been leased to a number of accounts for profit. 

@richman2 has about 40K SP, most of which has been delegated out

@crypt0f1end has about 33K SP and is also currently delegating.

A big big welcome to all the new users that registered with Steemit in May ’18. If you did join in May ’18 you might be interested in seeing how those are doing after a year on Steemit. You can read that report here:

https://steemit.com/steemit/@paulag/if-you-joined-steemit-in-may-2017-then-this-is-for-you-happy-steemit-birthday

Conclusion

May was a slower month in terms of new user registrations. The slowest month to date this year. However the report does not stop there and although the number of accounts was low, other stats are slightly more positive, as in the % of accounts adding about information to the profile.

Looking at the accounts with suspicious activity, it does not take a genius to work out many of these accounts are bot accounts and quite a few will be added to my personal blacklist.

Looking at the accounts that powered up, well sad as it is, many of these are just delegating for profit, some also seem to be delegating to voting circles.  But there are also some genuine accounts and names I recognise.

Normally I do not include my personal opinion on the data.  But today I want to talk a little about the downturn in the number of new accounts.  I do not think this is an issue as currently the people on steemit are not able to visit every blog and some awesome authors are falling through the cracks.  Less accounts = less shit to filter.  However what does concern me is that when looking at some of the new accounts, its obvious they are sudo names, many are scammers and bots.  Some of which were set up by Steemit Inc.  If I can spot these, why is steemit inc allowing them be set up??


I am part of a Blockchain Business Intelligence community. We all post under the tag #BlockchainBI. If you have an analysis you would like carried out on Steemit or Blockchain data, please do contact me or any of the#BlockchainBI team and we will do our best to help you...

You can find #BlockchainBI on discord https://discordapp.com/invite/JN7Yv7j


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Excellent post and analysis.... always the best from @paulag !!

In your "Strange Activity" section, is it possible to clearly identify spammers by comparing the text strings of post and counting the number of times each text string is posted. Repeating the same text string of a post (comment) over and over again is a clear sign of spamming the block chain. Just a thought for automatically identifying spam.

Keep up the great work and analysis you do. It is great needed and appreciated.

Have a great weekend!
Steem on,
Mike

In your personal conclusion statement I agree that some of the new accounts are definitely bots.
I must also question some of the large SP accounts being setup at this time. With the roll out of Smart Media Tokens on the STEEM block chain, is it possible that some of the high value SP accounts are associated with the new SMT startups?

Steem on,
Mike

Looking at the accounts with suspicious activity, it does not take a genius to work out many of these accounts are bot accounts

Exactly and I am not sure if you have noticed or not but whenever you post on Steemit, you are being followed by many bot accounts, like more than 50. It's been happening from the last two weeks and not sure if anyone else noticed this suspicious activity.

May was a slower month in terms of new user registrations. The slowest month to date this year.

In my opinion, Steemit Inc should be focusing on retaining the 60K users who have been active here instead of promoting Steemit to new users. Build a community first, fix the problems and people will automatically be attracted to this platform.

Looking at the accounts that powered up, well sad as it is, many of these are just delegating for profit,

That's the main problem here, why not these investors work with some minnows/red fish, start a project for the community and profit from this project, like a win-win situation for everyone! Delegating your SP to bots and taking SBDs on daily basis doesn't seem to be very humanly or engaging behavior.

Anyways, as usual, wonderful analysis. I have been following your posts since I started working on this analysis stuff and I guess this is the first time I am commenting on your post :)

Thanks for you to sir..

Thanks for you@gentlebot sir..

wow!
I'm 21 days old. Confused about a lot of things in Steemonia. This post helps me get a better grip of some stuff, thank you very much!.

This post is the first I've paid to Promote. I hope thats cool (I did say I was confused.com) ?

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You raise some interesting questions in this post Paula.

However what does concern me is that when looking at some of the new accounts, its obvious they are sudo names, many are scammers and bots. Some of which were set up by Steemit Inc. If I can spot these, why is steemit inc allowing them be set up??

I have been wondering this for months @paulag. I don't have your statistical nouse but so many of these spam accounts are so blatantly obvious that even I can see what they are.

They frequently only post plagiarised photos with no text, they follow thousand of people when they're very new and their names are often obvious.

May of these accounts are created in blocks of ten and have sequential numbers, like these I saw yesterday:

address100
address101
address102
address103
address104
address105
address106
address107
address108
address109

So even before they get to the posting stage it should be easy to spot them.

Like you, I just don't get why Steemit inc is allowing them to be set up.

Hopefully, the lower number of new accounts and the improved other stats means the creation of these spam accounts is slowing down.

rather disappointing to see this, but its few of many.

rather disappointing to see this, but its few of many.

I liked the high value SP account names. 😜

Thanks again, for the quality of your insights.
I moved in bitcoin earnings largely because of the option to delegate voting strength for a monthly yield.
If more bitcoin hodlers are diversifying into STEEM that has to be a good thing, right?

Yes, it would be and since you can move back any time the risk is low.

Very good analysis. Hope steemit inc doesnt let bots pass in order to suggest higher daily activity for Marketing purpose. Learning how to properly use steemit takes time.

most bots are not set up by steemit inc, there are other ways accounts can be set up.

Ah ok i read the article like steemit set up the bots on their own.

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