Great video as always. Lately I see more and more people concerned about the parabolic growth of BTC. I think most of this fear is driven due to the high number (19k) in the price. Obviously the adoption does not justify the value but I don't see bitcoin the way it is today (e.g. 10min verification, high transaction fees and increase in value) to take the place of a daily used currency. However if we consider that bitcoin is a global currency and almost investors from every country are putting money into it, is this really a high price? I really want to know what you think about that.
Yes it's really still a high price. It's very easy to compare Bitcoin to everything that is bigger than it - often people are absurd with their comparisons and go as far as to compare to global money supply, global gold market cap, global equities markets, global fixed income, etc.
What you never hear from these same people is how Bitcoin is already bigger than Visa despite the fact ... wait for it... Visa handles TRILLIONS of dollars worth of transactions. It's not apples to apples for several reasons, the biggest being that Bitcoin acts as the token for these transactions meaning the value of Bitcoin comes from the value of the transactions rather than the transaction fees, but it's so many orders of magnitude behind that we can infer it shouldn't even close to this price based on being a transaction medium.
Furthermore, the digital gold argument associates Bitcoin with being a store of value. Yet if this were true, why aren't people putting 100% of their value into Bitcoin? Bitcoin has had several bubble pops throughout history, absurd falls of over 80%. The digital gold argument falls apart the moment that happens.
The best reason to justify Bitcoin's current price is that it will replace fiat currencies very soon (20 years-ish), hence the present value is justified due to absurdly high future value. However, I see that possibility as infinitesimally small due to the fact that governments would have to accept Bitcoin for taxes / debt which is a conundrum in of itself, deflationary currencies likely won't work well supporting a global economy, and host of other reasons that I probably shouldn't list in a response to a comment. But I hope that illustrates the point.
I think that people just won't adopt bitcoin. Simply. The prime reason is the retarded blocksize limitations.
Agreed.
The tragic part is that lightning will require much larger blocks in order to function properly anyway. They may as well start increasing it now so the network could actually be used in commerce, so it can actually benefit from the network effect, and justify at least some of its price growth.
Agree, I do think the store of value or digital gold labels are just created to cover the problems that Bitcoin has right now. Bitcoin is "A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System", according to the paper of Satoshi. If any deflationary cryptos can be the store of value, why not ETH(potentially), LTC, etc? I think ETH or some other smart contract platforms will dethrone BTC sooner or later. And all of those scammy fork coins will be worthless if they didn't put some real tech into the system.
I thought about the same and it was really surprising to see someone saying the words I would have said, but just better. Congrats, you seem to have a well consolidated opinion about Bitcoin's value.