Bitcoin BEARS vs. BULLS by tjan
Orginal: https://mastercalls.io/2018/03/08/bitcoin-bears-vs-bulls-by-tjan/
Trading View: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSD/VfqNadS4-Bitcoin-BEARS-vs-BULLS/
– Prolog —
Bitcoin -5.50% dropped hard in the last two days. Some reasons might have been a.e. the “Binance API hack”, MtGOX trustee dumps lots of Bitcoin -5.50% , SEC Statements about regulation (kind of a bullish thing in my opinion but.. nevermind…) and so on.
Anyways, it broke through the top of the downtrend and this showed a possible reversal of the bigger trend. There were two main patterns drawn on many TA’s in the last days, an ascending triangle and an inverted head and shoulders .
The ascending triangle pattern got rekt and is not valid anymore. The iH&S is still intact (see LS, Head, RS -2.39% ), as long as the supports mentioned below hold.
— Current Supports —
Today Bitcoin -5.50% dropped on some very important support levels @ around 9k, then it bounced a little and at time of writing it’s trading at around 9350.
Here is a list of all the important supports at around 9k:
– top of downtrend (retesting as support after breakout)
– top of old channel (retesting as support after breakout)
– support of LS (Left Shoulder of iH&S)
– EMA200 (red line / exponential moving average )
(- also it was the bottom of the red ichimoku cloud – not shown here for better overview)
— Prediction —
I expect Bitcoin -5.50% to go either up or down.. (•‿•)
BUT -> these are the conditions that have to apply to trigger either the bearish or bullish market I drew in this TA:
BULL scenario trigger:
& breakthrough of iH&S neckline (@ around 11.8k)
& breakthrough of psychological resistance @ 12k
BEAR scenario trigger:
& falling below 9k (support of LS)
&/OR falling back below top of downtrend
— Glossary —
iH&S = Inverted Head and Shoulders
LS = Left Shoulder
RS -2.39% = Right Shoulder
I will update this idea if I consider it necessary. Feel free to ask questions or give inputs in the comment section 🙂
cheers
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All speculative bubbles come to an end.Whether the speculative bubble in bitcoin has burst for good, though, remains to be seen. Last week's price action is flashing warning signals that a short-term-or even the final-top has been made in what is supposed to be in the next asset class.Since so much media attention has been paid to the cryptocurrency craze, Benzinga decided to devote an entire PreMarket Prep broadcast to the topic. the team assembled bitcoin bulls and bears and let them battle out in an open forum.cool @superxsdo
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Bitcoin has still a lot to drop. There are some whales are selling it still. Expect it drop to $2000 to $3000 in the next 3 months.