Why China Will Collapse
Their demographics and their agricultural dynamics will preclude their success. The elites also want to make sure that the people in the countryside don't flood into the cities.
This is a guy I subscribe to named Styxhexenhammer666.
His info is out of date, even for 2014.
China won't balkanise within 20 years. China has been using internal migration to simmer down the ethnic tensions for decades. The new capitalist class and the political class relies on social order to preserve their position. Their ability to socially control is increasing. The recent move to being almost entirely cashless (ie traceable) and their control over social media means they are now intervening with agitators before they can become rioters and before riotors become rebellions. They're not afraid to use carrot and stick methods; for example, they recently restricted Haj visas for Uighurs that expressed anti-national sentiments. You wanna go Haj (a big deal to a Muslim leader) then you better not dislike the government.
Their tech sector is impressive; China is a huge player in AI. There's a lot of investment (public and private) in the sector. Their manufacturing is already moving towards high-value goods and they have resource deals; many in Africa strengthened during the European decolonisation post WWII. The country isn't without its problems but the people combine a curious mixture of hope and confucian fatalism. The govt is also much more long-term looking because their government also doesn't have to pander to an election cycle.
I can remember trying to explain Privacy laws (as they exist in the West) and being struck by how foreign a concept this was to the devs I was talking with. They quite simply could not understand a country when the government can't know everything that they ever do. What, a government with limited power? That's not a thing for them.
I could say more, but I've already written a tome. I finally got around to reading a couple of your books too. Thanks.
yeah, their "collapse" seems unlikely to me but I always enjoy Black Pigeon's perspective
+1 for Black Pigeon.
oh and thank you for reading the books, new one will be "leftist psychology."
Looking forward to it!
yeah, their "collapse" seems unlikely to me but I always enjoy Black Pigeon's perspective