做空波场的时机?

in #cn5 years ago

bitmex的波场对比特币期货多日以来,价格低于现货10%-20%左右,原因在于波场即将向所有持币者空投BTT币,经过分析BTT有一定的投资价值,而期货是不能获得空投的,一部分投资人买入现货波场同时做空期货波场,希望无风险赚到BTT,因此,波长现货和期货的差价大约就是市场所认同的BTT的价值,然而螳螂捕蝉黄雀在后,有主力资金看到这个机会,用期货迅速拉高波场,那些做空的头寸如果仓位过大,就会被拉爆,主力只需要预先在他所计划的拉升到某个位置高一点挂单卖出,那些杠杆过高的空单被迫平空,也就是被迫高位接了主力的单。
bc1.jpg
大幅拉升,爆了很多空单后该怎么走?我认为跌的概率较大了,当然了做空的杠杆不能大,设好止损,由于BTT未来不定期多次空投,那么现货和期货或许会维持很长时间差价(据说6年),影响波场期货价格的不单单取决于波场现货,还取决于BTT。

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