Well I mostly agree with you (especially the institutional money part). We should not forget that in 2017 bitcoin made the biggst jump from 6000 to 20000 in just four weeks. Imagine what happens when the first ETF (legally backed up) together with a few major technical updates including the next big steps with lightning network. Then the price will have a big boost. I think there can be made no comparison between 2013 and 2018 because now the mainstream media and big companies have joined the market. This will change everything. I can't wait for the time when the market cap not only depends on bitcoin anymore. This will let us see which currencies can make the run to the moon.