If China U.S. Trade Battle Persists, Recession Within 3 Quarters: Morgan Stanley

in #dtube5 years ago


The market is up from its December 2018 low. It has performed incredibly well. It’s off it’s all-time high but has definitely risen up. If we stretch our view just a bit further back to January 2018, we may be reminded that the stock markets are actually below those levels today. That’s 15 months of easy monetary policies and the overall market has been extremely volatile and inconsistent with the behavior seen in 2017. Something ain’t right.

Markets: Indexes, Bonds, Forex, Key Commodities, ETFs
https://www.cnbc.com/markets/
Morgan Stanley sees recession on the horizon if trade war escalates
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/02/morgan-stanley-sees-recession-on-the-horizon-if-trade-war-escalates.html
China releases official document that blames America for the trade war
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/02/china-releases-official-document-that-blames-america-for-the-trade-war.html
2018_1.png (1240×600)

$SPX | SharpChart | StockCharts.com
https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui
recesison odds 1 year.jpg (794×442)

bofa most shorted returns.jpg (638×407)

SoftBank’s bid to raise new $100 billion fund gets frosty reception from money managers - MarketWatch
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/softbanks-bid-to-raise-new-100-billion-fund-gets-frosty-reception-from-money-managers-2019-06-02
Liz Ann Sonders on Twitter: "US-Mexico manufacturing supply chains highly integrated, with 2/3 of US imports taking place intra-company (between factories owned by same company); some manufactured items cross border more than once, which will become cost-prohibitive @DeutscheBank @SoberLook https://t.co/1nLjNKZk7N" / Twitter
https://twitter.com/LizAnnSonders/status/1134413617380675587?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1134413617380675587%7Ctwgr%5E393039363b636f6e74726f6c&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.zerohedge.com%2Fnews%2F2019-06-02%2Fluongo-whats-plan-mr-tariff-man


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