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RE: Chart Of The Day: Where Is The Chinese Miracle?
I have 2 heuristics for China.
Cheap money, political support, and euphoria probably makes it expensive.
No regulatory certainty makes it extra risky - which also makes it expensive.
It's definitely on the too hard pile for me. There are way easier and more pleasant things to research and value
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High risk, high difficulty, high reward. Look on the huge spikes...
I understand that. Not my style. I'm not a trader.
And I don't believe in high difficulty, high reward.
There are points for style. But I don't think the payoff warrants it.
My investing horizon is 3 to 5 years and my main measuring stick is Free Cash Flow.
To clarify: FCF = EBITDA - Maintenance CapEx.
Main difficulty here: figuring out CapEx
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The best investing can be the most boring one... balance sheets, indicators, net present value... no adrenaline.
I like listening to drying paint and watching grass grow ;)
As to statements:
Cashflow statement is the most important, second comes the balance sheet.
Actually reading the annual report is mandatory.
To me.
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