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RE: How Libertarian Presidential Candidate Gary Johnson Could Get 23 Electoral Votes
i'd love it if the libertarians got even one electoral vote. But the 538 guys thinks it's unlikely. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
that's correct, focusing on a 50 state strategy is useless for the L-party because it will yield exactly 0 electoral votes. States are winner-take all (with a small exception in NE and ME), so you win the state you get the 3 or more EV's or you get nothing. This is the central premise of my analysis: focus on 1-6 States where you have the best chance of pulling out a victory and ONLY CAMPAIGN IN THOSE STATES. Given there's no chance of winning this election, the goal is to win a few states and leverage that going into 2020, when no matter who wins 2016 (trump or hillary) the nation will be ready for change.