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RE: SBD update 13.01.19

in #sbd5 years ago

I've seen people do Elliott Waves on BTC pairs. However, the price vs BTC often comes and goes in nondirectional cycles, so I don't think that using Elliott waves would be valid. What is your opinion on doing Elliott wave analysis on something like Steem/BTC, SBD/BTC, or other BTC pairs?

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For me, a chart is a chart. If it is tradeable and has enough volume, there is a valid EW count for it in my opinion. It may be totally different than the counts of USD pairs, but that's fine. USD is a stable currency, but BTC is the most volatile thing that you trade on earth. No one should be shocked by the BTC pairs showing totally different patterns than USD pairs.

However, with a pair like LTC/BTC, there are no clear larger fractals since the prices just keeps oscillating without any clear direction. It would be hard to put a impulse wave count on the longer time frames. How would you figure out the count on a smaller time frame then?
Screen Shot 2019-01-15 at 7.00.07 PM.png

To me, this looks like the perfect example of a large genesis wave. A count does not have to start with an impulse. In fact, most charts start with an ABC or WXY or WXYXZ before an impulse wave is formed.
Until you have figured out the count for the big pic, it is nearly impossible to count this on the smaller time frames.
BgxWBRxjvNhnbM9DiyHtCptYaDNF3xx85r8if8spuMjfmZY2BzvEEs9MKiosayCN3M7SQ3Kxjbu4wCrG2hwRiYjpVUwcnZ7dSQqYAntLaGYYGPAy7nLsccrvNx2mdZbqJym9EZEqQiFakrnrzMHdZdbqCHPK4wrps49xZppofLWLrV4.png

However, with Elliott waves, there will eventually there will be impulse waves after the correction is over. With impulse waves, we assume that the price goes up forever in the long run. In the long run, all coins (that still exist) then would either go up forever against Bitcoin (or go down forever if the impulse waves are down).

The other possibility is that the WXY are just part of a larger WXY and the correction lasts forever.

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