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RE: Using Bookie Odds As A Starting Point
Great post @numpypython!
Looking at how teams have performed at certain odds ranges is something I do often. I haven't figured out yet whether it's better to use odds ranges or current league position, but I would expect them to yield roughly the same results. I plan to do some testing however in this area!
Thanks, @acelad! That's a great idea.... football-data.co.uk has the odds and the results readily available. A bit of work to compile the data and sort them, but i'm sure it'll be worth it.
Yeah i think you're right about the odds... the opening odds would have included current league position as a factor but not sure how much weight they assign to it versus H2H, injuries, form etc.