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RE: Big Bash Best Bet – An Investment of a different type
Nice, comprehensive analysis.
One of the first things I do while analysing T20 tournaments is to look at teams' bowling line-ups with the Perth Scorchers having set the template on how to go the distance in such tournaments by playing five good, wicket-taking bowlers in the XI. And it's no different this time with the likes of Behrendorff, Coulter-Nile, Johnson, Tye and Willey in the squad.
That said, bet365's offer of $4.5 for the Scorchers to win the title is shorter than I hoped. More interested in Brisbane Heat at $6.5, especially if Lynn is fit and with McCullum leading the way - very interested in watching Shadab Khan on Aussie pitches.
I totally agree. The pace attack of the Scorchers will be very tough to overcome, especially at home. They only have 1 international and look weaker in the spin department though. I also have both Marsh boys unavailable in Phase 1 so their batting might be soft.
I really like Brisbane though. They were almost my pick this year and I was on them to make the finals last year. Reckon they could go one better this year if the bash brothers stay together. Haven't seen much of Khan, he could be the wild card.
Brisbane are paying $7 with the NSW TAB and they will take a decent sized bet.
I wonder if Langer thought of missing both Marshes before the Ashes began - both were long odds to make the squad and now both should retain their place for the remaining two Tests. Agreed, will be interesting to watch how he overcomes their absence.
They lose Bancroft too. But they are likely to get him and Shaun Marsh back once the tests are over so I could see them starting slow and making a late charge.
Good idea then to let their odds drift for a bit and then put money on them to go the distance later in the tournament.