My Premier League Outright Bets and HUGE BETTING WIN STORY!!!

in #sports6 years ago (edited)

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I've unfortunately missed the past two days of posting but I did plan to take a 1 day or so break from the daily bet's just to revise on everything I have done and to not get too eager with some of the bets. The daily bet will be back this weekend with around 2 bets on both Saturday and Sunday. For now, I want to just share some of my outright bets I have taken for the upcoming 2018/19 Premier League season.

1. To win outright without Man City
Liverpool @ 2,2

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Firstly, a key thing to notice is that I have taken this bet for without Manchester City. Man City, in my opinion, have one of the best squads to date. Therefore, I see them being an obvious threat to do the double and take home the trophy again this season after the absolute thumping they gave the rest of the league last season.

Without Man City, however, any of the regular top 6 teams can pose a threat to the title. My prediction for this bet is Liverpool. Liverpool have one of the strongest front three in the division with the likes of Salah, Firmino and Mane who all bring something unique to Liverpool's attacking front. Undoubtedly the weakest point for Liverpool over their past two season's has been their defence.

The signing of Van Dijk last season and Alisson are likely to firm up the Liverpool backline. Liverpool conceded the most of all the top 4 last season with 73,68% of these being conceded away from home. Hopefully, these new signings can address this issue and if so, I can see Liverpool easily overcoming the rest of the top 6.

2. To finish in Top 4
Arsenal @ 3

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I see Man City and Liverpool finishing in the top half relatively easily this season. That leaves the final 2 spots for Champion's league qualification to be battled for between Man United, Arsenal, Chelsea and Tottenham. Of these 4, I see Arsenal as the superior team. Chelsea haven't made too many changes and the loss of Courtois is likely to have an impact in the beginning of the season while the new signings still adjust to the team. Man United and Tottenham have not looked too impressive in their preseason fixtures either.

Arsenal's change of coaching to introduce Unai Emery is hopefully the change that will spark a revived Arsenal this season. Arsenal's downfall last season was their poor away form where they ranked 11th in the league based on away from winning only 4 of their 19 fixtures and losing 11. On home soil, they finished on 3 points behind Man City.

The likes of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang heading up Arsenal's front line, I give Arsenal a much better chance this season when they are on the road. A continued strong home form and a semi-decent away form should see them reach to top 4 with relative ease.

3. To be relegated
Huddersfield @2,2

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Not too much to say here except that last season Huddersfield boasted the league's lowest goal tally joint with Swansea. Missing relegation by only 4 points was a result of their first 3 games during the 17/18 season where they went undefeated. With the promoted teams from the Championship, namely Fulham and Wolves showing some strong signs of looking to affirm their position in the top flight, Huddersfield are going to have to make some drastic tactical changes to improve their attacking front and win some of the bottom half of the table fixtures. Easier said than done with the remaining teams improving season on season.

4. Top goalscorer
Mo Salah @ 6

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An often contentious issue between Premier League fans is that of who will take home the golden boot for the season. The favourites are of course Harry Kane (Tottenham), Mo Salah (Liverpool), Romelu Lukaku (Manchester United), Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (Arsenal) and Sergio Aguero (Manchester City). I can rule out Aguero and Aubameyang mainly due to the lack of match time they sometimes seem to get as well as the diversity of the squad and overall skill. Lukaku showed strong form while with Everton but this has joined upon joining Man United. Possibly due to competition in the team, changing playstyle or just not being the only strong attacker in the team.

This leaves me with the decision between Harry Kane and Mo Salah. Harry Kane is Tottenham's main man when it comes to goals but he was ultimately superseded by Salah last season. Both player's show their own talents but I feel that the team support is going to be the key decider this season. Tottenham have been poor in creating chances both towards the end of the 17/18 season and during pre-season. Liverpool, however, show deadly attack all round especially on the counter attack. Seeing Liverpool and League contenders this season and on the basis on betting value odds, I have to back Salah to take home his second Premier League Golden Boot.

Watch out for Salah's deadly left foot!!!

Betting Method on these outrights
I've decided to play a yankee bet on these 4 bets for a total of $110 over the 11 combinations ($10 per combination).
Winning's per combination are as follows:
12 = $56
13 = $122
14 = $38,40
23 = $170
24 =$56
34 = $122
123 = $386
124 = $135,20
134 = $280,40
234 = $386
1234 = $861,20

Total (Potential) Winnings : $2613,20

Now, while we hope for that Yankee bet to pay off and for all of us to have profitable season's, I thought what better way to do that then share some positive betting news to keep all of our hopes up.

The past weekend saw the beginning of the England Championship. Now for many of us we take it relatively cautious and stay away from risky accumulators in the first gameweek, Right?

Not for 1 lucky person in South Africa
This lucky bettor played seven of the matches taking place on August 4th, 2018. All of which were played on the Matchbet and Both teams to score (BTTS) markets. The stake played was a mere 5 ZAR (South African Rands) = $0,37. Total odds, however, 597 212.69. This combined with a accumulator bonus of 298 606.85 ZAR = $21 956,38 saw this bettor win 3 284 670,31 ZAR = $241 519,88.

Imagine winning $214 519,88 from as little as a stake of $0,37

Ive included the betslip below so fellow bettors can have a look and hopefully get some hints and tips.

IMG_1411.jpg

This kind of makes me want to get back into accumulators and as such i've included a brief overview of the following bettors tactics below:

If you wished to play this stake everyday on a high risk accumulator, the totals per week, month and year would be as follows:
Week = $2,59
Month = $11,1
Year = $135,05

Based on these amounts, if you can afford to lose an amounts of $135,05 per year, I see absolutely no reason why taking a risk everyday on a couple of accumulator fixtures is a bad idea. You never know, you may be a lucky winner of a few $100 000.

Let me know what your biggest accumulator wins are in the comments and I would like to extend a message of GOOD LUCK to all the fellow bettors out there, especially the SBC League.

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