STEEM Technical Analysis Shows Very Oversold Condition

haejin (87)in #steem • 6 years ago

SUMMARY

The triangle line has been updated to incorporate new price data as shown in below chart. It's been discussed how the extended 5th wave can have implications on the degree of retracement and thus far, STEEM has retraced to the prior wave (iv).

Elliott Waves show a complex triple fits better as shown in blue and the subwaves indicate that the correction should be near the terminal end. The blue Z is shown with the abc subwaves and the five of the c sem nearly complete! Some exciting price reversal is very likely soon.

Here is the daily chart of STEEM and the MACD is showing oversold status that had been getting deeper since early February. If a turn occurs, it'll likely coincide with Bitcoin reversing out of its wedge pattern.

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6 years ago in #steem by haejin (87)

$121.04

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jfitmisc (56) 6 years ago

Thanks for showing the descending triangle pattern. You're a great teacher. So now that we are on the 5th wave of the downtrend, should we see 5 waves of an uptrend? Wondering if this is all theory or Fibonacci is very reliable.

$0.15

1 vote

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akpos (45) 6 years ago (edited)

I think it's time to acquire more steem especially at it's current price in Naira (₦621.23).
steem price.jpg
Price
Thanks @haejin

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4 votes

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moeknows (60) 6 years ago

I don't know if I would trust that.

2 months ago, heijin told us that the $14 target was dead ahead. I know that pinning down your dates isn't something that you like to do, but how far away is dead ahead? Because now, you're again telling us that "exciting price reversal is very likely soon." So I have to ask, how soon? If I had invested my $1000 after your last post telling me to BTFD, I would have lost close to 70% up to this point. Wouldn't it have been more wise to simply hold on to my investment until now?

$0.02

5 votes

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akpolopez (35) 6 years ago

The price of sbd is still dropping as of the time of this response buy i will rather acquire at this moment before sbd starts to rise again.

$0.04

2 votes

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tradergurl (45) 6 years ago

"MACD is showing oversold status"

I don't think you understand how to read that indicator

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2 votes

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scorer (58) 6 years ago

How do you read MACD indicator?

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1 vote

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tradergurl (45) 6 years ago

MACD is a momentum indicator but you don't use it to measure oversold / overbought conditions. Its not range bound like RSI, W%R, Stoch etc so there's no way to measure 'oversold'. Is it 'oversold' when it's -0.1 ? -0.2 ? -0.745 ? -23.7 ? It just doesn't work like that.

You use it to see the trend direction and strength of the past (it's a derivative of a derivative of a derivative, about the laggiest indicator you can get). Easier just looking at the actual price chart unless you're using it for some divergence indication or something.

$0.00

1 vote

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scorer (58) 6 years ago

Is it 'oversold' when it's -0.1 ? -0.2 ? -0.745 ? -23.7 ?

Without a chart it is impossible to guess only from those numbers.

But have you ever tried on using MACD extreme highs and lows?

$1.10

2 votes

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truthtrader (59) 6 years ago

Here is a good source to understand about MACD:

https://www.investopedia.com/terms/m/macd.asp

And how to use MACD Divergence to find a possible reversal.

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/forex/05/macddiverge.asp

And some other ways on how to use MACD

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/082701.asp

You Will notice that none of them mention oversold/overbought

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1 vote

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scorer (58) 6 years ago

I was more like interested in MACD as a tool for oversold/overbought conditions. There are more articles about it, but this one looks quite explanatory.

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1 vote

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tradergurl (45) 6 years ago

No, because that doesn't make sense. It may be -0.5 now, but what if it carries on falling to -1, or -5 ? What if the market becomes very volatile for a long time and -3 becomes the new 'extreme' ? If you look on the chart above from Aug to Dec the 'extreme' was only -0.1 that whole time. At what point then was it considered overbought/oversold ?

It's not a bounded range, it's an absolute value with no limits that changes all the time so you can't really quantify it and say 'x level mean oversold'. I think the OP is confused between a downtrend and being oversold. You can still be overbought in a downtrend ! Infact that's exactly what people wait for to enter trades...

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