Barking mad?

in #steem5 years ago

I haven't had a chance to watch it yet but the stream from @ned seems to have pushed the release of SMTs off the table. Well, this is going to be interesting considering that applications and SMTs were the focus just a couple of weeks ago with many off those applications planning SMT releases.

The focus is on cost reduction and especially on the resource requirements of the blockchain, which is again interesting but not necessarily unexpected considering resource requirements are always a factor to refine.

What I do think is that all of these last moves feel a bit knee-jerk-ish and wonder what is going on behind the scenes that has sparked decisions and presentations that are almost destined to create FUD in the community. We can of course speculate on it til the cows come home but without inside information, not really know.

But, it is of course possible that there has been other reasons for these moves and price is a convenient excuse, or perhaps part of a convenient excuse. I think price alone outs not enough of a reason considering SMTs were scheduled for only 4 months away and were seen as a critical factor for success.

It is also possible that there was a fundamental flaw in the plan that required a back to the drawing board approach or, a new factor or innovation that forced the same. I am hoping the latter option of this is the case.

Potentially, competition or collaboration was the catalyst for the swing where new threats or opportunities opened up that were previously not considered.

It could also be part of the plan.

Whatever it is, I am pretty certain there is going to be some angry people out there who are going to be spitting their emotions all over the blockchain. Will you be one of them, get fight up in the mob mentality and join in on the rioting?

During times of uncertainty and stress you can see what people are made and capable of, as some will lose their composure at the sense of potential loss. It makes people susceptible to losing control and starting to panic which can quickly get out of hand. It also mashes them prone to manipulation and trash decision making. At times like this it is better to think slow than fast but, emotional fear makes it difficult.

There are a lot of interesting days lately. If price drops on the news, are you going to buy in?

;)

Taraz
[ a Steem original ]
(posted from phone)

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Rumor is the SMTs are going to be released as planned. The stream from @ned was to start the FUD train to suppress the price of Steem between now and the surprise release of SMTs a month earlier than planned. The surprise release will not only save Steemit and create the largest price surge Steem has ever witnessed, but it will also create the capitulation needed to reverse the entire crypto market as a whole. @ned is a smart dude. Please don’t share this secret info, it’s for insiders only. You got lucky and were chosen today. Also, I made all of this up, but hey, I can dream in a bear market. Can’t I?

Posted using Partiko iOS

Keep dreaming.

Sometimes, dreasms come true.
This one goes in the unlikely box.

I will definitely not pass it on and I will delete this message from the blockchain after reading.

Gracias!

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I actually came away from the livestream with a positive outlook. Not so much on how we got here, but where things are going from here. I think far too much is put on the shoulders of Steemit and that their focus absolutely needs to be focused on the blockchain. The basic idea presented was that having too broad a focus was what got us here, and that the restructuring is about addressing that.

The immediate concern is survival(obviously) because nothing can happen if we can't keep the lights on, but after costs are under control it seems like the main direction he's interested in taking is JUST focusing on blockchain development, which I think is a GOOD thing. Let the app developers make the next great social application and let's support Steemit to build the tools to make it possible.

I think far too much is put on the shoulders of Steemit and that their focus absolutely needs to be focused on the blockchain.

Yeah, it is not a bad thing all in all to limit impact.

Yep. Watched the livestream. Seems like SMTs aren't going to be released too soon. Man, that sucks. I had such high hopes for them.

Posted using Partiko Android

Been waiting for Communities since I joined almost 2 years ago :D

...this was your part in the you tube - communities!

Hahaha. I made meme like this one months ago :)

It goes beyond disappointment and frustration. We were 4 months away from RELEASE, but supposedly 5 weeks away from testing?

To suddenly drop this ball at this point (SMTs) I don't think I can pretend to believe that they are going to deliver them at all. I am not mad and rioting, I am mad at myself as the signs were all there and I chose to disregard them.

Somehow I'm not surprised because Steemit Inc has no reason whatsoever to fire anybody at this time. They're sitting on massive funds, around $20 million.

Well, it depends on what they were tasked with as they aren't a traditional industry working in an established frame.

How many employees did they have? If ten, each costing, say, $100,000 per year, then keeping them on the payroll will cost $1 million. That's 20 years of development work even with the price being this low. SMTs were a mere fourth months off according to the roadmap.

Here's my take on the stream..

Ned was taking cue's off other people in the content of the stream, and in which direction to go (levine was a prop) .
I saw ned as the salesman, and not the owner of the car lot...

Or should I say, IF he is the owner of the car lot, then he needs to get someone in, to run it properly. Very zuckerberg - esque....especially after watching his various presentations and interviews on you tube yesterday, while making my hitler you tube parody.
Zero clarity in his own product. Zero conviction.

I know 15 yr old market stall traders, with more 'nous' than he exhibited...

And as for raising the possibility of dropping steemit ?
Maybe not a possibility - maybe it was introducing the reality into peoples consciousness.

Steeminc has other agenda's than a social media platform, I think... (maybe that was just the hook to get the concept launched?)
The social media side of it, as far as steeminc. is concerned, is becoming apparent that it's totally irrelevant now, imo.

I'm not even saying that's a bad thing per se. ( I don't know).

I am saying it's really crappy for the users who came here purely from the position of using it as a social media platform, one where you could build a presence, and make some money from speaking your truth.

Yeah, he came off as lost, unsure, nervous, with a lack of direction or conviction. I've known that for a while and I choose to question my own perception instead of listening to it.

Mostly, I am frustrated with myself.

Here is how it went in my head...

Aren't we supposed to be decentralized? Me: Oh well

Ned doesn't seem very driven compared to other CEOs I've known... Me: Maybe he'll get better at it.

They haven't delivered on many projects and does not seem concerned about Investors. Me: I'll give him another chance.

Mostly though... I wrote it off to everything in crypto sucks.

Anyway, in the long run it might turn out fine, but short term, I expect things to get worse before they get better. But, Maybe I'm wrong.

I will expect to see a lot of dapps be the next to drop off.

Ned doesn't seem very driven compared to other CEOs I've known... Me: Maybe he'll get better at it.

...the thing I see with this 'techy world' - CEO's just appear.
In the real world CEO's emerge from years of work and experience in the real world, before being launched into the position.
(and when I heard ned mention his dad was a wall street banker on one of his interviews - talk about alarm bells! lol)
'get better at it', is wishful thinking... normally, as a ceo, you already have the tools from years of experience to be 'good at it' when you take up the position..

They haven't delivered on many projects and does not seem concerned about Investors. Me: I'll give him another chance.

As a total techy dunce, it was all over my head, so I can't really say - but I was aware of the 'just coming', smt things, that never arrived.
( I have to read instructions every morning in how to use my keys to log into steemit! Okay, not that bad, but you get the idea! lol)

I have absolutely no idea how this will turn out - keep me informed will ya? lol

We were 4 months away from RELEASE, but supposedly 5 weeks away from testing?

It seems a 'bit suspect' doesn't it? New information came to light?

I'm not sure how much people outside of STEEM opine on the inner workings of STEEM, I mean things have always seems vague. I guess it is about survival and regrowing the user base, maybe then it will be time to talk about SMTs or whatnot again. ty

I'm not sure how much people outside of STEEM opine on the inner workings of STEEM, I mean things have always seems vague.

People are still reading articles from 2016 thinking that is the way Steem is.

I think a lot of people who have invested money into the platform on the promise of SMTs will be upset. One of the disadvantages of a company that doesn't give quarterly statements and such is that this sort of thing can sneak up on you because the company doesn't have to tell you they're going broke or that they won't be able to fulfill their promises.

I think we're still in the "wait and see" stage to figure out what happens next. I wouldn't mind seeing a list of who still works at Steemit Inc and what their job functions are. From the looks of the latest Bridge test video (still not available for streaming on Steemit), they have Mr Mute still working for Steemit, so that should give you an idea of where things will be going moving forward.

It's not my company, so I can't tell them how to run things, but personally I think that a company that's supposed to be running this decentralized beacon to the world should be a bit more transparent regarding what their plan in to right the ship. They're still putting resources into Bridge, but SMTs which has been their proposed flagship product is (hopefully only) delayed. If they want to boost investor confidence, talk about the plan to get back on track.

Steemit Inc is extremely far from being broke. They're in possession of over $20 million worth of SP.

You're correct, "broke" was not the most accurate word for their situation. They do still have a lot of SP, but that's equity that they've been slowly selling off. The prices they've been getting have been less-than-ideal, especially recently. So while they still have large amounts of assets, they are likely in a lower cash situation. Thanks for allowing me to clarify.

It could just be that they're unwilling to sell too much SP at the current price level and banking on the price moving up next year. That would make a lot of fiscal sense. I don't know about business sense, though. I'm really looking forward to much more decentralized development.

I wouldn't blame them for not wanting to sell at current prices. When you know that a coin has been much higher, it's hard to want to sell now. But if that's what you need to do to pay the bills, you have to do it. Apparently Steemit Inc felt it was more important to lay the people off and push out their highly-touted SMTs than to continue powering down and selling at these prices. Unfortunately, that's likely to drop Steem's price further, even if the overall market recovers. It's too bad.

I'm really looking forward to much more decentralized development.

This could be a huge boost for Steem in the long-term. If Steemit Inc goes by the wayside, but other individuals and groups find a development niche, we could see things move ahead even more than if Steem continued to run things. Time will make things clearer.

It is going to be interesting to see the next steps but my speculation is that it is less over price and potentially something new has come to light that is either a threat or they can leverage.

Hmm do tell, I'd love to hear you speculate on that. I wouldn't say it hasn't crossed my mind either.

Check the date:

I think the real reason why SMTs are off the table is the potential for serious legal complications if they are released. An SMT could be deemed an unlicensed security by the SEC. To avoid that, Steemit Inc might be wise to consider leaving the USA and finding a friendlier jurisdiction.

Potentially, but there are ways around that too I think.

But it may take time to put them to use.

Funny, he was hiring devs two weeks ago on Twitter.

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Seems a little knee-jerky right?

Very! You were at steemfest? Was there any talk/rumours that this was unfolding?

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None really? Can you reflect on any encounter, meeting or conversation in a new light that might have sounded different had you known this at the time?

Also, just curious, how do you feel about the timing of this vis a vie Steemfest?

Well, not really. I talked to a couple people there who would have been somewhat in the know and the conversation did cover much of this but, in a much more natural way in my opinion. What I mean is that I was often talking about the need for Stinc to step away and have mentioned it on chain for quite a while now also.

I saw that the push to RCs and application onboarding was the first real large move to do this and the destiny announcement was the first real public show of direction.

At SF I spoke at length with a few people about how this step away might happen and ways to facilitate it but nothing about economic business need came up. In my limited sight, I would say that there are two potential things driving this with price being a convenience.

  • Change of direction based on a reigning in of scope creep (needed)
  • A technological understanding (new or threat) that has come to light and caused a large rethink (checked what Dan is up to?)

I can't imagine this being a completely kneejerk reaction.

This is an opportunity though and it is a risky move considering the market position but I think less risky near the bottom than if we were on a bull run up now. The move is unlikely to cause many hands to fold and the low price seems to be encouraging distribution still. Distribution is still a major issue in the cryptospace and this is a decent point to encourage some diversification from large and staking in of small.

Right, it's safer and quicker to turn the ship when you're going slow. Thanks for this.

And advertising same on Facebook.

To be honest I'm still processing the information from the stream and other posts and chats. But if the price goes down would I buy in, Hell ya. Maybe I am barking mad :-)

Yep. I am looking forward to getting some Fiat in the next month or two :D

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