Hi Asher, cool topic! I agree that redfish accounts make up an important user base and an understanding of where they come from is not not only relevant to the various account growth programs on Steem. The "accounts that once were larger" aspect is something we haven't had much focus on in previous analyses and I'm actually pretty surprised about the results! Close to 2/3 of them still posted to the chain this year, that's quite a lot - did I get this right? I would have expected to see the largest fraction of those powering down with the intention to leave Steem. My first thought was that these must be alt-accounts that moved their stake to the main account and are now used for the various dapps and games that recently went live. But that that doesn't really explain why they were created in the periods of high Steem prices. Did you have a closer look on "who" they are?
Applying the curation league metrics here to measure the activity is a great idea! Seeing the list, I think I've seen a couple of those names via posts and comments before and I'm pretty sure they won't be redfish for long.
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Thanks for the review, and especially the help in refocusing it towards utopian-io and away from more social aspects :)
Yes that is right, and I was the same as you in expecting this subset of accounts to be the least active following power-downs. I did ask another person off chain which they thought would be most active out of the 3:
And they chose correctly with the conclusion that 'they know what is coming'. I think they have a point in that these accounts likely know the game and their accounts ebb and flow with activity according to the market. Although:
This goes against that thinking somewhat, but they may have learned the hard way to start with. I didn't look closer into the accounts this time, perhaps something to detail another day.
Hopefully the various initiatives on the go can help the list above (due to outstanding engagement for their account size) and other smaller fish keen to grow and stick around.
Cheers!
Thank you for your review, @crokkon! Keep up the good work!