The whole 90% chance fail concept doesn't apply to crypto imo. I explain this view in detail here:

Ridiculous Dot Com Comparison

I trudge though all the companies that failed and show why they are nothing like blockchain. This is a brand new economy: open source cooperative capitalism. Cryptocurrency will usher in idealistic free market capitalism for the first time ever.

I think Bitcoin will be the coin that proves to have little value in the future. It's going to be all about smart contract and privacy tech. That being said Bitcoin still has a long way to go before it stops losing growth. The whole ETF hype might be pretty nuts as well.