Does anyone use the Steem blockchain?

in #steem5 years ago (edited)

As follow up to yesterday's post, "Don't Sleep on Steem: Better than EOS!", I wanted to share some of my sources, in order to inspire and enable us all to inform friends and acquaintances about the power of Steem.

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First, I have here a screen shot from Dappradar.com, and it shows the top 8 blockchain decentralized applications, organized by number of users in the last 24 hour period.

Please Note:

Dappradar does not include dapps on the Steem blockchain.
QuasarX is not a top dapp, they paid to be at the top of the charts.

Dappradar: Number of Users

dappradar top 8.png

Next, we have a screen shot from Blocktivity.info, which shows the top 17 blockchains starting with the highest number of transactions per week, to the lowest.

Blocktivity: Transactions Per Week

blocktivity top 17.png

One thing I didn't say in my video was this, we know that Steem has over 1 million unique accounts, however some are inactive, but we can infer roughly how many active users Steem has using the Blocktivity transaction data, here is how:

  • Steem has about 850,000 transactions/week and 120,000 transactions/day
  • Every post, video, photo and comment is a transaction
  • Every user can upvote themselves a maximum of 10 times/day (not precisely true*) on the Steem chain
  • Not every user posts 10 times/day: I post 1-5 times, including comments.

*Can Steemians post more than 10/day?

Technically any steemian can post more than 10/day, but I suspect that is rare for two reasons:

  1. Posting more than 10/day is a lot of work!
    A) When you post that much, the content quality suffers, and so your financial reward suffers.
    B) Spam content will hurt your payouts, follows and resteems, leading to a worse result for more effort.
  2. Spamming content in order to self-vote is strategically disincentivized.
    A) While you can post & upvote yourself more than 10/day, your voting power diminishes with each upvote. Therefore, spamming content in order to self-vote is not a sustainable approach to generate revenue.

Therefore because of disincentification, I suspect it is unlikely that many accounts are posting more than 10/day, and so I really think, but cannot confirm that this is accurate.
We can use this data and some conjecture to speculate about the rough number of active users active on Steem blockchain.

Tracking Active Users with MATH!

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Low Estimate of Active Steemians:

  • If we have 120,000 posts on Steem daily, and if every active account is roughly limited to a maximum of 10 posts daily (which is NOT entirely true), then we can conclude 120,000/10 = 12,000 active users.

High Estimate of Active Steemians:

  • If each active user posts approximately 5 times daily, including comments, which is true in my case, then we can conclude 120,000/5 = 24,000 active users.

Limitations of my Analysis:

This data is not entirely reliable because of several limitations which I will now discuss.

First, I have no way of knowing if certain individuals are spamming the network, posting more than 10 times per day. Yes, such individuals would hurt their own ability to earn and grow, but that doesn’t exactly mean its not happening.

Second, this data cannot address the fact that some users will post today, and not tomorrow. This means that we might have 24,000 active users today, and 24,000 different active users tomorrow, for a total of 48,000 users who are active on the week.

Third, I have measured the active users based on accounts who post transactions to the blockchain (i.e., comments, posts, or upvotes) daily but this metric necessarily excludes any visitors who view the page, enjoy the content, but do not or cannot not comment or upvote. This is important because unlike other decentralized application platforms, internet users can visit and enjoy Steem without having their own account, but one requires an account to vote, resteem, comment, or blog (a.k.a. “transact”).

There is for sure some number of people who interface with Steemit that do not have a Steem account, and so cannot comment, but are they "active users"? I'd say so.

Summary:

Dappradar tells us that PRA Candybox is the most successful dapp from ETH, EOS or Tron, and we know they have approximately 11,000 users.

Blocktivity tells us that Steem processes approximately 120,000 transactions per day, and applying that data we can infer both low and high estimates of the active number of users on the Steem chain.

Both the high AND low estimates of active users on the Steem chain imply that Steem has greater adoption and usership than any other major decentralized ledger platform solution; greater than Ethereum, Tron and yes, even greater than EOS.

Or said another way, the dapps in existence on Steem are more actively used today, than the "best" dapps offered by Tron, Ethereum and EOS.

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Conclusion:

I suspect, all things considered, Steem actually has between 50,000-100,000 people who use the blockchain regularly, let's say on a weekly basis. Not everyone posts EVERY day, some just post weekly, and then probably between 10-20% of our viewers are those people who do not even have a Steem account, but they visit the site and enjoy our content.

Comments & Questions?

If you read this, and you know of some website or way to better answer this question of usership on Steem, please post, comment and share.

What do you think of my math? Am I missing something? I am convinced Steem is the most widely adopted and utilized platform with the decentralized ledger space, are you?

That is all for today, thanks so much for your time and attention, have an amazing day and God bless.

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Well it doesn't matter if its 12k, 24k or 48k individual accounts on Steemit, it wouldn't maje a different if it were 120k daily individuals.... It's just not enough users. For steem to be anywhere as effective as it should there, there needs to be 1 million daily individual users. If Facebook can do billions, then steemit should be able to do millions with the rite marketing campaign, but all I see is the flagship account (@ned) powering down and jumping ship like the rest of tge rats. I honestly, really hope things swing 180° in 2019,its tge only way to save steemit and steem.

I hear you and agree: We need a million active users, daily.

A lot of the "old money" on Steem is definitely taking profits, but I sympathize, afterall they probably had been accumulating Steem aroun 0.10 USD, and now they starting to doubt, wondering whether their profits are going to disappear completely.

Not to say Im happy about their selling. Just that I understand the desire to retain profits where possible.

For me though, Im in this until 1 of 2 things occur:

  1. Steem moons, at which point I would take some profits,
  2. Steem dies, literally completely stops working, and I can no longer post.

Facebook's centrality makes it a hard comparison, too few people understand private keys, and blockchain still for Steem, or EOS, or even BTC to be widely accepted. While that is true, we have to measure steem's success in more modest terms.

What would success on Steem mean in 2019?

  • 2 million accounts? Is that too big? I dont know.
  • 2 million weekly transactions?
  • SMTs actually come full force into the space.
  • An exchange for SMTs to Steem is created.
  • SBD returns to roughly $1.00
  • Steem price returns to approximately $2.00

I would consider that a HUGELY successful year. Here's to hoping.

Thanks for the post @Welshstacker!

A success for steem in 2019 would be simply to survive!!

SBD is now a totally pointless coin (in my opinion). The last "hair cut" meant it was no longer a stable coin and no longer fit for purpose. Why people are still HODLing it is beyond me.

If steem makes $1 and holds firm for 4 months I'll call that a success.

Just like you, only 2 things will happen for me to powerdown /leave. Either it's goes triple digits and I'll start taking some $ off the table or it dies, shuts down, goes offline, no longer exists and I'll have no choice but to walk away.

Love your committment, and I understand your frustrations.

At least we can look around us and see a lot of other dumper fires, and take satisfaction in that...

  • Facebook has been receiving, and their stock is plummeting.
  • Patreon, Gab, and Youtube are all restricting free speech, and cutting certain people's income because "they" don't like what the user has said.

Censorship and government interference might end up being the trigger for the next crypto bull run.

"Permissionless" and "immutable" might end up being the most pivotal function of blockchain.

Does a Comment, count as a Post...??? Lately, I've only been Commenting, but I'm still getting a Few Author Awards...

Yep. Comments are a transaction, same as a photo or video.

According to Dapponline.io, there is about 10,000 daily users on Steem. Across all its platforms.

6000 on steemit, partiko, dtube, etc. Together they are approx 10,000.

Pretty small but secon best among ALL dapps. So that's a win.

Posted using Partiko Android

Thank you for your continued support of SteemSilverGold

Hi @infidel1258!

Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 2.457 which ranks you at #17258 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has dropped 24 places in the last three days (old rank 17234).

In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 346 contributions, your post is ranked at #258.

Evaluation of your UA score:
  • Only a few people are following you, try to convince more people with good work.
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